{
  "checked_at": "2026-10-12T01:23:31.904Z",
  "scope": "October 2026 historical audit; overlapping origins, changing survivor sample, not calibrated prediction intervals",
  "components": [
    {
      "id": "ddr5_32gb6000",
      "flat_mape": 76.88796124954504,
      "origins": 10,
      "coverage": 0,
      "tests": [
        {
          "origin": "2024-12",
          "target": "2025-12",
          "minimum": 83.42999999999999,
          "maximum": 139.04999999999998,
          "actual": 427.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-01",
          "target": "2026-01",
          "minimum": 84.9,
          "maximum": 141.5,
          "actual": 439.31,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-02",
          "target": "2026-02",
          "minimum": 74.99249999999999,
          "maximum": 124.9875,
          "actual": 499.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-03",
          "target": "2026-03",
          "minimum": 79.49249999999999,
          "maximum": 132.48749999999998,
          "actual": 484.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-04",
          "target": "2026-04",
          "minimum": 82.2225,
          "maximum": 137.0375,
          "actual": 472.35,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-05",
          "target": "2026-05",
          "minimum": 76.67999999999999,
          "maximum": 127.8,
          "actual": 479.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-06",
          "target": "2026-06",
          "minimum": 86.24249999999999,
          "maximum": 143.73749999999998,
          "actual": 460.49,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-07",
          "target": "2026-07",
          "minimum": 81.92999999999999,
          "maximum": 136.54999999999998,
          "actual": 484.62,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-08",
          "target": "2026-08",
          "minimum": 86.99249999999999,
          "maximum": 144.98749999999998,
          "actual": 504.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-09",
          "target": "2026-09",
          "minimum": 89.99249999999999,
          "maximum": 149.98749999999998,
          "actual": 532.87,
          "contained": false
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ddr4_32gb3200",
      "flat_mape": 72.80611589047807,
      "origins": 10,
      "coverage": 0,
      "tests": [
        {
          "origin": "2024-12",
          "target": "2025-12",
          "minimum": 38.2425,
          "maximum": 63.737500000000004,
          "actual": 192.49,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-01",
          "target": "2026-01",
          "minimum": 38.43,
          "maximum": 64.05,
          "actual": 221.59,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-02",
          "target": "2026-02",
          "minimum": 38.902499999999996,
          "maximum": 64.83749999999999,
          "actual": 240.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-03",
          "target": "2026-03",
          "minimum": 33.7425,
          "maximum": 56.237500000000004,
          "actual": 250.12,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-04",
          "target": "2026-04",
          "minimum": 36.3675,
          "maximum": 60.612500000000004,
          "actual": 232.73,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-05",
          "target": "2026-05",
          "minimum": 40.4925,
          "maximum": 67.4875,
          "actual": 242.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-06",
          "target": "2026-06",
          "minimum": 46.89,
          "maximum": 78.15,
          "actual": 216.54,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-07",
          "target": "2026-07",
          "minimum": 54.5775,
          "maximum": 97.90249959282419,
          "actual": 197.09,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-08",
          "target": "2026-08",
          "minimum": 59.512499999999996,
          "maximum": 113.17219444153484,
          "actual": 208.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-09",
          "target": "2026-09",
          "minimum": 60.74249999999999,
          "maximum": 115.5112290840568,
          "actual": 224.99,
          "contained": false
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "nvme_1tb",
      "flat_mape": 52.89654618117835,
      "origins": 10,
      "coverage": 0,
      "tests": [
        {
          "origin": "2024-12",
          "target": "2025-12",
          "minimum": 61.050000000000004,
          "maximum": 101.75,
          "actual": 129.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-01",
          "target": "2026-01",
          "minimum": 65.44500000000001,
          "maximum": 109.075,
          "actual": 157.67,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-02",
          "target": "2026-02",
          "minimum": 64.7925,
          "maximum": 107.9875,
          "actual": 169.2,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-03",
          "target": "2026-03",
          "minimum": 66.9075,
          "maximum": 111.51249999999999,
          "actual": 188.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-04",
          "target": "2026-04",
          "minimum": 65.85,
          "maximum": 109.75,
          "actual": 197.18,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-05",
          "target": "2026-05",
          "minimum": 59.99249999999999,
          "maximum": 99.9875,
          "actual": 205.63,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-06",
          "target": "2026-06",
          "minimum": 59.5275,
          "maximum": 99.2125,
          "actual": 180.97,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-07",
          "target": "2026-07",
          "minimum": 56.235,
          "maximum": 93.72500000000001,
          "actual": 176.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-08",
          "target": "2026-08",
          "minimum": 61.574999999999996,
          "maximum": 102.625,
          "actual": 178.63,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-09",
          "target": "2026-09",
          "minimum": 54.36749999999999,
          "maximum": 90.6125,
          "actual": 184.93,
          "contained": false
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "nvme_2tb",
      "flat_mape": 53.28357093639069,
      "origins": 10,
      "coverage": 0,
      "tests": [
        {
          "origin": "2024-12",
          "target": "2025-12",
          "minimum": 110.6175,
          "maximum": 184.3625,
          "actual": 220.39,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-01",
          "target": "2026-01",
          "minimum": 113.43,
          "maximum": 189.05,
          "actual": 287.74,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-02",
          "target": "2026-02",
          "minimum": 110.36250000000001,
          "maximum": 183.9375,
          "actual": 322.05,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-03",
          "target": "2026-03",
          "minimum": 112.47749999999999,
          "maximum": 187.4625,
          "actual": 319.1,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-04",
          "target": "2026-04",
          "minimum": 114.7425,
          "maximum": 191.2375,
          "actual": 384.08,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-05",
          "target": "2026-05",
          "minimum": 108.3675,
          "maximum": 180.6125,
          "actual": 329.56,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-06",
          "target": "2026-06",
          "minimum": 105.7425,
          "maximum": 176.2375,
          "actual": 314.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-07",
          "target": "2026-07",
          "minimum": 101.9925,
          "maximum": 169.9875,
          "actual": 299.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-08",
          "target": "2026-08",
          "minimum": 112.4925,
          "maximum": 187.4875,
          "actual": 339.99,
          "contained": false
        },
        {
          "origin": "2025-09",
          "target": "2026-09",
          "minimum": 96.8475,
          "maximum": 161.4125,
          "actual": 347.99,
          "contained": false
        }
      ]
    }
  ]
}